In their article, Tenreyro and Thwaites (2013) conduct research to explore the impact of monetary policy on real and nominal variables at various business cycle stages. They aim to determine whether the effects of monetary policy are symmetrical or asymmetrical throughout the business cycle and identify the sources of any asymmetry observed. In my view,Continue reading “Commentary on Monetary policy is Weaker in Recessions”
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Revisiting Inflation Forecasts Using the ARMA
The autoregressive moving average (ARMA) is a common technique in time series analysis. In my view, a time series example that can be suitable with the ARMA model but need to be revisited is inflation. The model commonly used in inflation data modeling might associate with the relatedness of the variable with its past values.Continue reading “Revisiting Inflation Forecasts Using the ARMA”
Commentary on Why are Target Interest Rate Changes so Persistent?
In their paper, Coibion and Gorodnichenko (2011) argue that in the absence of additional significant economic shocks, the monetary policy reversal is likely to be gradual and provide robust evidence that policy inertia is a more likely source of the persistence in interest rates than the persistent shocks hypothesis. The author mostly agrees with theirContinue reading “Commentary on Why are Target Interest Rate Changes so Persistent?”
A Comment on Navigating the Debt Legacy of The Pandemic
In their article, Kose, Ohnsorge, and Sugawara (2021) proposed several measures that countries could take to address debt-related risks before the next crisis or pandemic. However, it is important to note that the suggestions might need more details. Hence, this post serves as a comment that would contribute to more detailed measures. The first suggestedContinue reading “A Comment on Navigating the Debt Legacy of The Pandemic”
hope. 